Buy
09/28/2026, 00:12:59
Avg 3.84¢
Held / total
221.00 / 221.00 shares
Invested $8.48
Recovered $0.00Realized $0.00Unrealized -$7.15-84.36%

| Market | Side | Bought at | Size | Avg. price | Current price | Est. value | Unrealized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 79081.56 | 25.9¢ | 60.5¢ | $47,805 | $27,325 / 133.43% |
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | Yes | -- | 91697.48 | 29.9¢ | 35.0¢ | $32,094 | $5,259 / 16.90% |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | -- | 26047.84 | 32.6¢ | 62.5¢ | $16,280 | $9,340 / 91.61% |
| Market / outcome | Buy time | Average buy price | Held / total | Invested / recovered | P&L | Status / exits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? Yes | 09/28/2026, 00:12:59 | 3.84¢ | 221.00 / 221.00 shares Mark 0.60¢ | $8.48 Recovered $0.00 | -$7.15 -84.36% | |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No | 09/24/2026, 18:39:09 | 67.0¢ | 15.15 / 15.15 shares Mark 69.5¢ | $10.15 Recovered $0.00 | $0.38 3.73% | |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? Yes | 09/24/2026, 14:55:06 | 67.0¢ | 7.35 / 7.35 shares Mark 69.5¢ | $4.92 Recovered $0.00 | $0.18 3.73% | |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No | 09/24/2026, 14:44:36 | 67.0¢ | 77.94 / 77.94 shares Mark 69.5¢ | $52.22 Recovered $0.00 | $1.95 3.73% | |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No | 09/24/2026, 06:09:47 | 67.0¢ | 15.15 / 15.15 shares Mark 69.5¢ | $10.15 Recovered $0.00 | $0.38 3.73% | |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No | 09/24/2026, 05:58:26 | 67.0¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares Mark 69.5¢ | $67.00 Recovered $0.00 | $2.50 3.73% | |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No | 09/24/2026, 05:55:55 | 67.0¢ | 200.00 / 200.00 shares Mark 69.5¢ | $134.00 Recovered $0.00 | $5.00 3.73% |
| Yes |
| -- |
| 190999.77 |
| 17.2¢ |
| 7.65¢ |
| $14,611 |
| -$18,280 / -55.58% |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 302603.81 | 3.01¢ | 4.05¢ | $12,255 | $3,143 / 34.49% |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 12224.16 | 94.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $11,674 | $183.41 / 1.60% |
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | Yes | -- | 15877.99 | 16.6¢ | 64.5¢ | $10,241 | $12,459 / 288.97% |
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | No | 09/20/2026, 22:59:07 | 13815.99 | 67.2¢ | 69.5¢ | $9,602 | $315.60 / 3.40% |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 57000.00 | 2.38¢ | 11.3¢ | $6,413 | $5,051 / 371.05% |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | -- | 6657.45 | 60.8¢ | 93.5¢ | $6,225 | $3,184 / 53.73% |
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 09/20/2026, 12:04:27 | 7748.84 | 67.3¢ | 69.5¢ | $5,385 | $170.25 / 3.26% |
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | -- | 5162.35 | 72.9¢ | 92.5¢ | $4,775 | $1,011 / 26.87% |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -- | 5001.10 | 54.4¢ | 93.5¢ | $4,676 | $18,602 / 71.88% |
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | -- | 8698.49 | 16.9¢ | 53.5¢ | $4,654 | $3,180 / 215.81% |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 6300.00 | 39.5¢ | 61.5¢ | $3,875 | $1,385 / 55.60% |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 3739.99 | 66.0¢ | 94.5¢ | $3,536 | $1,068 / 43.26% |
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | -- | 3633.60 | 84.9¢ | 96.8¢ | $3,517 | $433.82 / 14.07% |
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 3502.64 | 64.7¢ | 92.0¢ | $3,222 | $956.23 / 42.20% |
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 2911.68 | 62.0¢ | 94.0¢ | $2,738 | $933.19 / 51.69% |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | -- | 3199.96 | 60.0¢ | 77.5¢ | $2,480 | $560.00 / 29.17% |
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | -- | 3700.00 | 39.2¢ | 61.5¢ | $2,276 | $825.50 / 56.93% |
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | -- | 8516.09 | 20.9¢ | 26.5¢ | $2,257 | $509.21 / 26.90% |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | -- | 2208.89 | 94.5¢ | 98.8¢ | $2,181 | $55.18 / 4.44% |
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | -- | 5532.82 | 49.2¢ | 37.5¢ | $2,075 | -$649.18 / -23.83% |
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? | No | -- | 1966.29 | 78.0¢ | 92.5¢ | $1,819 | $285.11 / 18.59% |
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | No | -- | 1658.51 | 63.1¢ | 95.0¢ | $1,576 | $528.18 / 50.43% |
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | No | -- | 1199.99 | 74.0¢ | 96.4¢ | $1,157 | $268.80 / 30.27% |
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 1210.00 | 80.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $1,107 | $139.15 / 14.38% |
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | -- | 2121.95 | 51.4¢ | 50.5¢ | $1,072 | -$181.87 / -1.86% |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | -- | 1064.68 | 89.8¢ | 96.5¢ | $1,027 | $71.15 / 7.44% |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 26 or 27 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | -- | 1086.97 | 86.0¢ | 85.0¢ | $923.93 | -$10.87 / -1.16% |
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027? | No | -- | 900.00 | 80.0¢ | 97.5¢ | $877.95 | $157.95 / 21.94% |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027? | No | -- | 944.51 | 71.0¢ | 89.1¢ | $842.03 | $171.43 / 25.56% |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 999.99 | 66.0¢ | 80.5¢ | $805.00 | $145.00 / 21.97% |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 30 or 31 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | -- | 789.68 | 94.9¢ | 98.9¢ | $780.60 | $31.17 / 4.16% |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 817.02 | 74.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $780.25 | $175.66 / 29.05% |
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 1257.09 | 51.0¢ | 59.5¢ | $747.97 | $106.85 / 16.67% |
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | -- | 2879.59 | 11.4¢ | 20.5¢ | $590.32 | $953.75 / 79.34% |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 530.17 | 78.0¢ | 96.7¢ | $512.41 | $98.88 / 23.91% |
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024? | Yes | -- | 471.57 | 81.0¢ | 97.6¢ | $460.25 | $78.28 / 20.49% |
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 510.00 | 37.0¢ | 84.5¢ | $430.95 | $242.25 / 128.38% |
Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 361.00 | 64.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $344.76 | $113.82 / 49.28% |
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | -- | 865.00 | 49.5¢ | 37.5¢ | $324.38 | -$104.12 / -24.30% |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | -- | 490.32 | 59.3¢ | 58.5¢ | $286.84 | -$70.45 / -1.40% |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 416.29 | 59.8¢ | 58.5¢ | $243.53 | -$59.14 / -2.10% |
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? | No | -- | 257.76 | 50.0¢ | 94.0¢ | $242.29 | $113.41 / 88.00% |
Will there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? | Yes | -- | 220.50 | 55.3¢ | 92.0¢ | $202.97 | $81.03 / 66.46% |
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 15 Gwei before 2027? | No | -- | 208.00 | 72.8¢ | 86.0¢ | $178.88 | $27.44 / 18.12% |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | -- | 479.77 | 12.0¢ | 37.0¢ | $177.51 | $119.94 / 208.33% |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 2170.54 | 6.28¢ | 6.50¢ | $141.09 | $4.74 / 3.47% |
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? | Yes | -- | 1015.70 | 4.64¢ | 11.7¢ | $118.33 | $71.18 / 150.98% |
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | -- | 475.32 | 31.0¢ | 21.5¢ | $102.19 | -$45.16 / -30.65% |
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | -- | 3016.63 | 8.58¢ | 2.60¢ | $78.43 | -$260.14 / -69.70% |
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | -- | 934.56 | 70.0¢ | 6.50¢ | $60.75 | -$593.45 / -90.71% |
Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -- | 721.19 | 31.4¢ | 7.15¢ | $51.57 | -$175.18 / -77.26% |
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 5 Gwei before 2027? | No | -- | 70.00 | 63.0¢ | 72.5¢ | $50.75 | $6.65 / 15.08% |
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027? | No | -- | 80.00 | 68.0¢ | 58.0¢ | $46.40 | -$8.00 / -14.71% |
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 59.71 | 53.0¢ | 52.5¢ | $31.35 | -$0.30 / -0.94% |
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 33.61 | 23.0¢ | 64.0¢ | $21.51 | $13.78 / 178.26% |
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 20 Gwei before 2027? | No | -- | 20.00 | 83.0¢ | 84.2¢ | $16.83 | $0.23 / 1.39% |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 16.00 | 70.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $15.27 | $4.07 / 36.36% |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.15¢ | $15.00 | -$297.50 / -95.20% |
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | No | -- | 14.00 | 75.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $12.82 | $2.32 / 22.07% |
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? | Yes | -- | 35.32 | 0.00¢ | 24.0¢ | $8.48 | $8.48 / 0.00% |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 9999.85 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.00 | -$307.50 / -98.40% |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 09/28/2026, 00:12:59 | 221.00 | 3.83¢ | 0.60¢ | $1.33 | -$7.15 / -84.36% |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | -- | 0.19 | 36.1¢ | 28.5¢ | $0.06 | -$256.14 / -20.92% |