Buy
10/05/2026, 06:57:37
Avg 16.0¢
Held / total
0.00 / 19.00 shares
Invested $3.04
Recovered $2.66Realized -$0.38-12.50%
| Market | Side | Bought at | Size | Avg. price | Current price | Est. value | Unrealized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | No | 10/05/2026, 06:36:50 | 306.00 | 62.0¢ | 47.0¢ | $143.82 | $10.64 / -24.19% |
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat? | No | -- | 78.00 | 39.0¢ | 36.5¢ | $28.47 | -$1.95 / -6.41% |
Will the Republican Party win the FL-11 House seat? | No | -- | 175.00 | 14.0¢ | 12.5¢ | $21.88 | $28.98 / -10.71% |
| Market / outcome | Buy time | Average buy price | Held / total | Invested / recovered | P&L | Status / exits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Team Liquid Win LCS 2026 Summer Split No | 10/05/2026, 06:57:37 | 16.0¢ | 0.00 / 19.00 shares | $3.04 Recovered $2.66 | -$0.38 -12.50% | |
Will Team Liquid Win LCS 2026 Summer Split No | 10/05/2026, 06:57:37 | 16.0¢ | 0.007142 / 194.00 shares | $31.04 Recovered $30.97 | -- Realized -$0.06 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No | 10/05/2026, 06:53:34 | 34.0¢ | 664.00 / 664.00 shares | $225.76 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No | 10/05/2026, 06:53:34 | 66.0¢ | 664.00 / 664.00 shares | $438.24 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No | 10/05/2026, 06:36:50 | 62.0¢ | 306.00 / 306.00 shares Mark 47.0¢ | $189.72 Recovered $0.00 | -$45.90 -24.19% | |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No | 10/05/2026, 06:13:47 | 77.5¢ | 96.00 / 96.00 shares | $74.40 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No | 10/05/2026, 06:13:46 | 24.0¢ | 96.00 / 96.00 shares | $23.04 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? No | 10/05/2026, 06:00:05 | 81.6¢ | 0.003044 / 5.91 shares | $4.83 Recovered $4.82 | -- Realized -$0.01 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 05:03:41 | 92.1¢ | 12.66 / 12.66 shares | $11.66 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 05:03:41 | 92.1¢ | 115.00 / 115.00 shares | $105.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 05:03:41 | 92.1¢ | 18.34 / 18.34 shares | $16.89 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 05:03:41 | 8.60¢ | 216.00 / 216.00 shares | $18.58 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 05:03:41 | 92.1¢ | 70.00 / 70.00 shares | $64.47 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:57:55 | 14.8¢ | 281.00 / 281.00 shares | $41.59 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:57:53 | 84.0¢ | 281.00 / 281.00 shares | $236.04 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:47:38 | 28.0¢ | 360.73 / 360.73 shares | $101.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:47:37 | 71.0¢ | 360.73 / 360.73 shares | $256.12 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:42:44 | 27.7¢ | 0.00 / 170.00 shares | $47.09 Recovered $45.73 | -$1.36 -2.89% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 04:35:25 | 30.0¢ | 182.07 / 182.07 shares | $54.62 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:35:23 | 70.0¢ | 182.08 / 182.08 shares | $127.45 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:34:41 | 43.0¢ | 328.00 / 328.00 shares | $141.04 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 04:34:40 | 56.0¢ | 328.00 / 328.00 shares | $183.68 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 04:23:56 | 9.00¢ | 200.00 / 200.00 shares | $18.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes | 10/05/2026, 04:23:55 | 91.0¢ | 400.00 / 400.00 shares | $364.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 04:23:53 | 9.00¢ | 200.01 / 400.00 shares | $36.00 Recovered $18.00 | -- Realized -$0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 04:02:58 | 68.0¢ | 163.00 / 163.00 shares | $110.84 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 04:02:23 | 32.0¢ | 163.00 / 163.00 shares | $52.16 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 03:58:38 | 67.0¢ | 249.00 / 249.00 shares | $166.83 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 03:58:34 | 33.0¢ | 249.00 / 249.00 shares | $82.17 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Allyson win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? No | 10/05/2026, 03:23:46 | 38.0¢ | 16.94 / 16.94 shares | $6.44 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 03:08:38 | 75.0¢ | 34.09 / 34.09 shares | $25.57 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 02:16:58 | 30.0¢ | 288.00 / 288.00 shares | $86.40 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 02:13:07 | 14.0¢ | 855.00 / 855.00 shares Mark 11.5¢ | $119.70 Recovered $0.00 | -$21.38 -17.86% | |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 02:13:07 | 87.0¢ | 693.23 / 693.23 shares | $603.11 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 02:13:07 | 87.0¢ | 60.00 / 60.00 shares | $52.20 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 02:10:32 | 71.0¢ | 288.00 / 288.00 shares | $204.48 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 02:00:50 | 89.0¢ | 53.45 / 53.45 shares | $47.57 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 02:00:02 | 89.0¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $89.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 02:00:02 | 11.0¢ | 153.46 / 1455.00 shares | $160.05 Recovered $143.17 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No | 10/05/2026, 01:38:35 | 75.0¢ | 1.42 / 1.42 shares | $1.07 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28? No | 10/05/2026, 01:14:59 | 9.00¢ | 0.00 / 79.00 shares | $7.11 Recovered $0.55 | -$6.56 -92.22% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 01:04:17 | 29.0¢ | 0.00 / 313.00 shares | $90.77 Recovered $89.75 | -$1.02 -1.12% | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? Yes | 10/05/2026, 00:42:19 | 67.7¢ | 582.00 / 582.00 shares | $393.75 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/05/2026, 00:42:19 | 32.0¢ | 582.00 / 582.00 shares | $186.24 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lorne Doerkson be the next Premier of British Columbia? No | 10/05/2026, 00:20:14 | 41.0¢ | 0.00 / 9.84 shares | $4.03 Recovered $3.89 | -$0.14 -3.54% | |
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No | 10/04/2026, 23:17:28 | 72.1¢ | 118.00 / 118.00 shares | $85.08 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No | 10/04/2026, 23:17:28 | 27.0¢ | 98.74 / 98.74 shares | $26.66 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No | 10/04/2026, 23:17:28 | 27.0¢ | 19.26 / 19.26 shares | $5.20 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Jay Clayton be Trump's AI czar? No | 10/04/2026, 22:41:40 | 15.0¢ | 0.00 / 90.99 shares | $13.65 Recovered $13.65 | $0.00 0.00% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 21:56:56 | 36.3¢ | 206.00 / 206.00 shares | $74.78 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of October 17? No | 10/04/2026, 21:56:28 | 66.0¢ | 0.00 / 43.00 shares | $28.38 Recovered $23.65 | -$4.73 -16.67% | |
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon? No | 10/04/2026, 21:13:38 | 75.0¢ | 57.00 / 57.00 shares Mark 14.5¢ | $42.75 Recovered $0.00 | -$34.49 -80.67% | |
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 20:41:50 | 75.0¢ | 46.49 / 46.49 shares | $34.87 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 19:54:32 | 85.0¢ | 135.00 / 135.00 shares | $114.75 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 19:54:32 | 17.0¢ | 135.00 / 135.00 shares | $22.95 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No | 10/04/2026, 18:18:04 | 23.0¢ | 97.41 / 97.41 shares | $22.40 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No | 10/04/2026, 18:18:04 | 76.5¢ | 97.41 / 384.00 shares | $293.76 Recovered $206.92 | -- Realized -$12.33 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? No | 10/04/2026, 17:48:13 | 10.0¢ | 0.00 / 216.00 shares | $21.60 Recovered $7.41 | -$14.19 -65.70% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 17:44:04 | 36.7¢ | 48.00 / 254.00 shares | $93.22 Recovered $74.37 | -- Realized -$1.24 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 17:44:04 | 63.0¢ | 254.00 / 254.00 shares | $160.02 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? No | 10/04/2026, 17:32:14 | 70.0¢ | 25.00 / 25.00 shares Mark 0.55¢ | $17.50 Recovered $0.00 | -$17.36 -99.21% | |
Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 17:29:10 | 59.0¢ | 403.00 / 403.00 shares | $237.77 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 17:29:10 | 40.0¢ | 403.00 / 403.00 shares | $161.20 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election? Yes | 10/04/2026, 16:41:49 | 53.0¢ | 20.73 / 20.73 shares | $10.99 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election? No | 10/04/2026, 16:41:47 | 47.0¢ | 20.73 / 20.73 shares | $9.74 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder |
| No |
| 10/05/2026, 02:13:07 |
| 101.77 |
| 14.0¢ |
| 11.5¢ |
| $11.70 |
| $574.40 / -17.86% |
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5581.75 | 3.12¢ | 0.15¢ | $8.37 | -$352.29 / -95.20% |
Will Choi-wan peak as a Very strong typhoon? | No | 10/04/2026, 21:13:38 | 57.00 | 75.0¢ | 14.5¢ | $8.27 | -$34.49 / -80.67% |
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.36 / -98.40% |
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11914.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.96 | -$366.35 / -98.40% |
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11840.64 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.92 | -$366.31 / -98.40% |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11840.64 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.92 | -$366.31 / -98.40% |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 11840.64 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $5.92 | -$366.31 / -98.40% |
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 8824.95 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $4.41 | -$364.45 / -98.40% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 7844.95 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.92 | -$364.32 / -98.40% |
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5721.14 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.86 | -$140.16 / -98.00% |
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5721.14 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.86 | -$140.16 / -98.00% |
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5581.75 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.79 | -$363.19 / -98.40% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5456.37 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.73 | -$140.03 / -98.00% |
Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5456.37 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.73 | -$140.03 / -98.00% |
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 5456.37 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.73 | -$140.03 / -98.00% |
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4756.93 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$139.69 / -98.00% |
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4752.25 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.38 | -$146.13 / -98.40% |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 932.01 | 20.0¢ | 0.25¢ | $2.33 | -$656.76 / -98.75% |
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4039.93 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $2.02 | -$139.32 / -98.00% |
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3165.24 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.58 | -$138.89 / -98.00% |
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3165.24 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.58 | -$138.89 / -98.00% |
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3165.24 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.58 | -$138.89 / -98.00% |
Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3165.24 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.58 | -$138.89 / -98.00% |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2861.64 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.43 | -$360.53 / -98.40% |
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 2754.41 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.38 | -$93.60 / -98.55% |
Will Richard Grayson win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 2754.41 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.38 | -$93.60 / -98.55% |
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 2754.41 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.38 | -$93.60 / -98.55% |
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | No | -- | 52.10 | 13.0¢ | 2.60¢ | $1.35 | $83.39 / -80.00% |
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | -- | 2674.82 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.34 | -$115.44 / -98.50% |
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 2598.41 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.30 | -$93.52 / -98.55% |
Will Dustin Darden win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 2598.41 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.30 | -$93.52 / -98.55% |
Will Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1725.31 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.86 | -$45.77 / -98.15% |
Will SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1725.31 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.86 | -$45.77 / -98.15% |
Will European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1725.31 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.86 | -$45.77 / -98.15% |
Will Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1725.31 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.86 | -$45.77 / -98.15% |
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1725.31 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.86 | -$45.77 / -98.15% |
Will Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1725.31 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.86 | -$45.77 / -98.15% |
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1663.12 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.83 | -$45.74 / -98.15% |
Will Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | Yes | -- | 1643.64 | 2.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.82 | -$45.73 / -98.15% |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 1514.32 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.76 | -$307.88 / -99.75% |
Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election? | No | -- | 0.87 | 86.0¢ | 83.0¢ | $0.72 | $0.01 / -3.49% |
Will Eduardo Girão win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 1310.63 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.66 | -$49.75 / -98.70% |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 1310.63 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.66 | -$49.75 / -98.70% |
Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 1310.63 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.66 | -$49.75 / -98.70% |
Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 1310.63 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.66 | -$49.75 / -98.70% |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 1265.92 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.63 | -$140.80 / -98.40% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 1265.92 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.63 | -$144.39 / -98.40% |
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 1162.00 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.58 | -$307.64 / -99.75% |
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1032.67 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 1015.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.51 | -$31.75 / -98.40% |
Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | -- | 122.61 | 14.3¢ | 0.40¢ | $0.49 | -$17.03 / -97.20% |
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 962.09 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 961.04 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.48 | -$23.57 / -98.00% |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 938.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.47 | -$31.71 / -98.40% |
Will Gabriel Souza win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Yes | -- | 142.07 | 6.25¢ | 0.30¢ | $0.43 | -$16.67 / -95.20% |
Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 691.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.35 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Colonel Busnello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 691.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.35 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 691.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.35 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 691.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.35 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 691.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.35 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 688.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 688.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 688.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 688.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 688.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 688.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$29.71 / -98.85% |
Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 666.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.33 | -$29.70 / -98.85% |
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | -- | 622.48 | 2.77¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.31 | -$16.98 / -98.20% |
Will Daniel Helldén be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | -- | 622.48 | 2.77¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.31 | -$16.98 / -98.20% |
Will Nooshi Dadgostar be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | -- | 622.48 | 2.77¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.31 | -$16.98 / -98.20% |
Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 619.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.31 | -$29.60 / -98.85% |
Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | Yes | -- | 619.33 | 4.34¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.31 | -$29.68 / -98.85% |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | -- | 583.89 | 3.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.29 | -$21.33 / -98.65% |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | -- | 583.89 | 3.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.29 | -$21.33 / -98.65% |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | -- | 538.00 | 2.77¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.27 | -$14.68 / -98.20% |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening week in 2026? | Yes | -- | 538.00 | 2.77¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.27 | -$14.68 / -98.20% |
Will Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | -- | 60.00 | 3.03¢ | 0.35¢ | $0.21 | -$5.36 / -88.45% |
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 40.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.20 | -$3.44 / -94.50% |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 375.84 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.19 | -$31.43 / -98.40% |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 375.84 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.19 | -$31.43 / -98.40% |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 375.84 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.19 | -$31.43 / -98.40% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win less than 30% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 361.00 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$120.59 / -99.75% |
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 42.82 | 20.0¢ | 0.40¢ | $0.17 | -$15.19 / -98.00% |
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | -- | 18.47 | 3.44¢ | 0.90¢ | $0.17 | -$0.47 / -73.89% |
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Yes | -- | 291.00 | 6.25¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.15 | -$18.04 / -99.20% |
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | Yes | -- | 291.00 | 6.25¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.15 | -$18.04 / -99.20% |
Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.14 | -$1.51 / -91.30% |
Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.14 | -$1.51 / -91.30% |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.14 | -$0.74 / -84.00% |
Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | No | 10/04/2026, 17:32:14 | 25.00 | 70.0¢ | 0.55¢ | $0.14 | -$0.49 / -99.21% |
Will NYC Mayor post 160-179 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 26.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will NYC Mayor post 120-139 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 26.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 26.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 26.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will NYC Mayor post 100-119 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 26.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will NYC Mayor post 200+ posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 26.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will Rui Costa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 252.88 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$8.91 / -98.60% |
Will João Roma win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 252.88 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$8.91 / -98.60% |
Will Kleber Rosa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 252.88 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$8.91 / -98.60% |
Will José Carlos Aleluia win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 252.88 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$8.91 / -98.60% |
Will Bruno Soares Reis win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 252.88 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$8.91 / -98.60% |
Will NYC Mayor post 80-99 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.13 | -$2.23 / -94.50% |
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 190m and 200m by October 31? | Yes | -- | 227.00 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$32.32 / -99.65% |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 216.46 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$57.85 / -99.75% |
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 216.46 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$57.85 / -99.75% |
Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | -- | 42.47 | 1.88¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.11 | -$3.93 / -86.75% |
Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | -- | 18.47 | 3.44¢ | 0.55¢ | $0.10 | -$0.54 / -84.05% |
Will "LEGO ONE PIECE: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 40.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.10 | -$3.54 / -97.25% |
Will Parti vert du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | -- | 190.30 | 3.03¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$5.67 / -98.35% |
Will Québec solidaire win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | -- | 190.30 | 3.03¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$5.67 / -98.35% |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 182.08 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$164.89 / -99.75% |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | -- | 18.47 | 3.44¢ | 0.45¢ | $0.08 | -$0.55 / -86.94% |
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.07 | -$0.81 / -92.00% |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028? | No | -- | 0.12 | 37.0¢ | 55.0¢ | $0.07 | -$12.90 / 48.65% |
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 42.82 | 20.0¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.06 | -$15.33 / -99.25% |
Will John Rustad be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | -- | 123.00 | 3.03¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$3.67 / -98.35% |
Will Dallas Brodie be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | -- | 123.00 | 3.03¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$3.67 / -98.35% |
Will Emily Lowan be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | -- | 123.00 | 3.03¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$3.67 / -98.35% |
Will Peter Milobar be the next Premier of British Columbia? | Yes | -- | 123.00 | 3.03¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$3.67 / -98.35% |
Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | -- | 122.61 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$17.45 / -99.65% |
Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | -- | 122.61 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$17.45 / -99.65% |
Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | -- | 122.61 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$17.45 / -99.65% |
Will Guto Silva win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | -- | 111.56 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$6.14 / -99.10% |
Will Rafael Greca win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | -- | 111.56 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$6.14 / -99.10% |
Will Beto Richa win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | -- | 111.56 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$6.14 / -99.10% |
Will Alexandre Curi win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | -- | 111.56 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$6.14 / -99.10% |
Will Enio Verri win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | -- | 111.56 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$6.14 / -99.10% |
Will Luiz França win the Governor of Paraná election? | Yes | -- | 111.56 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.06 | -$6.14 / -99.10% |
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | -- | 106.00 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$44.92 / -99.75% |
Will Ronaldo Fonseca win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Zanata win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Sebastião Coelho win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will David Horn win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Guto Felício dos Santos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Tiago win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Avenir Rosa win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Marley win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Professor Guilherme Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Federal District Senate election? | Yes | -- | 99.44 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$2.44 / -98.00% |
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Óscar Puente be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Carlos Cuerpo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | Yes | -- | 96.00 | 1.72¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$1.61 / -97.10% |
Will Arinalda do MLB win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 94.94 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$3.60 / -98.70% |
Will Professor Roberio Paulino win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 94.94 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$3.60 / -98.70% |
Will Rodrigo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 94.94 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$3.60 / -98.70% |
Will Carlos Jararaca win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 94.94 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$3.60 / -98.70% |
Will Dário Barbosa win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 94.94 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$3.60 / -98.70% |
Will Henrique Lyra win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 94.94 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.05 | -$3.60 / -98.70% |
Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | -- | 18.47 | 3.44¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.05 | -$0.59 / -92.75% |
Will Paulo Rocha win the Governor of Pará election? | Yes | -- | 89.00 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$4.90 / -99.10% |
Will Rogério Barra win the Governor of Pará election? | Yes | -- | 89.00 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$4.90 / -99.10% |
Will Dirceu Ten Caten win the Governor of Pará election? | Yes | -- | 89.00 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$4.90 / -99.10% |
Will Zequinha Marinho win the Governor of Pará election? | Yes | -- | 89.00 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$4.90 / -99.10% |
Will Éder Mauro win the Governor of Pará election? | Yes | -- | 89.00 | 5.55¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$4.90 / -99.10% |
Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 42.82 | 20.0¢ | 0.10¢ | $0.04 | -$15.40 / -99.50% |
Will Georgia Gould win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Sarah Hayward win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will David Stansell win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Hamza Chowdhury win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will James White win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Sarah Pochin win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Adam Harrison win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Oliver Cooper win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Gio Spinella win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Tricia Leman win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Keith Moffitt win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Lorna Jane Russell win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Siân Berry win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Jim Monahan win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Charlie Clinton win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Mehreen Malik win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Luisa Porritt win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Richard Olszewski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will Pat Callaghan win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 75.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.04 | -$0.97 / -96.25% |
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.04 | -$2.32 / -98.35% |
Will claude-opus-5-high be the best AI model on October 5, 2026? | Yes | -- | 65.00 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$12.97 / -99.75% |
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 63.63 | 2.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$1.60 / -98.05% |
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 63.63 | 2.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$1.60 / -98.05% |
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 63.63 | 2.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$1.60 / -98.05% |
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be at least 200m by October 31? | Yes | -- | 52.00 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$32.23 / -99.65% |
Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | Yes | -- | 51.50 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$16.85 / -99.65% |
Will Ivan Moraes win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Yes | -- | 50.00 | 8.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.03 | -$4.87 / -99.40% |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 45.51 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$22.51 / -98.00% |
Will David Roberts win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | Yes | -- | 45.50 | 1.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.95 / -96.25% |
Will Nvidia have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will Tencent have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will xAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will Meta have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will Z.ai have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will Xiaomi have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 44.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will MiniMax have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 43.72 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will Billie Jean – Michael Jackson be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will "stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo" be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will Risk It All – Bruno Mars be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the top song for 2026? | Yes | -- | 43.00 | 1.58¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$0.66 / -96.84% |
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 40.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$3.62 / -99.45% |
Will "Outside: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 40.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$3.62 / -99.45% |
Will Anthropic have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 39.03 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$2.91 / -99.25% |
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 35.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$3.57 / -99.45% |
Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | -- | 32.00 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$44.79 / -99.75% |
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement? | Yes | -- | 32.00 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.02 | -$44.69 / -99.75% |
Will MiniMax have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Mistral have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Microsoft have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Z.ai have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Meituan have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Baidu have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Amazon have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Nvidia have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 28.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.86 / -98.40% |
Will Poolside have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.82 / -98.50% |
Will Mistral have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.82 / -98.50% |
Will Thinky have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.82 / -98.50% |
Will MiniMax have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.82 / -98.50% |
Will Xiaomi have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 25.00 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.82 / -98.50% |
Will Waymo operate in 32 or more cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | -- | 22.01 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$3.13 / -99.65% |
Will Waymo operate in 28-31 cities on December 31 2026? | Yes | -- | 22.01 | 14.3¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$3.13 / -99.65% |
Will Federação PSDB Cidadania (PSDB-CIDADANIA) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Partido Democrático Trabalhista (PDT) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Podemos (PODE) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Partido Novo (NOVO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Avante (Avante) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Federação PSOL REDE (PSOL-REDE) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Federação Renovação Solidária (PRD-SOLIDARIEDADE) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Partido Missão (MISSÃO) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Partido Socialista Brasileiro (PSB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Republicanos (REPUBLICANOS) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? | Yes | -- | 21.00 | 2.38¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.49 / -97.88% |
Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? | Yes | -- | 20.33 | 16.7¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$3.64 / -99.70% |
Will xAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Meta have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Xiaomi have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Z.ai have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Anthropic have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Qwen have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will OpenAI have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Nvidia have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Tencent have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will MiniMax have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of September 28? | Yes | -- | 19.56 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$1.29 / -99.25% |
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | -- | 18.47 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.63 / -98.54% |
Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31? | Yes | -- | 18.47 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.01 | -$0.63 / -98.54% |