Buy
10/04/2026, 09:40:38
Avg 12.0¢
Held / total
1165.80 / 1165.80 shares
Invested $139.90
Recovered $0.00Realized $0.00Unrealized $11.668.33%
| Market | Side | Bought at | Size | Avg. price | Current price | Est. value | Unrealized P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | No | 10/03/2026, 02:30:20 | 4362.12 | 75.0¢ | 61.5¢ | $2,683 | $719.48 / -18.05% |
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | -- | 6235.91 | 42.6¢ | 37.6¢ | $2,345 | $8,108 / -11.82% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10/01/2026, 22:35:17 | 2779.43 |
| Market / outcome | Buy time | Average buy price | Held / total | Invested / recovered | P&L | Status / exits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? No | 10/04/2026, 09:40:38 | 12.0¢ | 1165.80 / 1165.80 shares Mark 13.0¢ | $139.90 Recovered $0.00 | $11.66 8.33% | |
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 09:36:23 | 94.0¢ | 125.00 / 125.00 shares Mark 95.5¢ | $117.50 Recovered $0.00 | $1.88 1.60% | |
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? No | 10/04/2026, 08:57:34 | 20.3¢ | 138.99 / 138.99 shares Mark 31.4¢ | $28.21 Recovered $0.00 | $15.50 54.93% | |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 07:34:55 | 95.5¢ | 849.63 / 849.63 shares Mark 96.0¢ | $811.40 Recovered $0.00 | $4.67 0.58% | |
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? No | 10/04/2026, 07:31:46 | 50.0¢ | 500.00 / 500.00 shares Mark 43.0¢ | $250.00 Recovered $0.00 | -$35.00 -14.00% | |
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 06:33:07 | 91.6¢ | 165.00 / 165.00 shares Mark 88.6¢ | $151.14 Recovered $0.00 | -$4.87 -3.22% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:26:19 | 70.9¢ | 20.27 / 20.27 shares | $14.37 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:59 | 70.9¢ | 9.97 / 9.97 shares | $7.07 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:58 | 70.0¢ | 8.02 / 8.02 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $5.61 Recovered $0.00 | -$0.68 -12.14% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:58 | 70.9¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $70.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:43 | 70.0¢ | 16.67 / 16.67 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $11.67 Recovered $0.00 | -$1.42 -12.14% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:41 | 70.9¢ | 58.71 / 58.71 shares | $41.63 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:41 | 70.9¢ | 5.18 / 5.18 shares | $3.67 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:40 | 70.0¢ | 466.00 / 466.00 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $326.20 Recovered $0.00 | -$39.61 -12.14% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:40 | 70.9¢ | 9.97 / 9.97 shares | $7.07 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:25:40 | 70.0¢ | 340.64 / 340.64 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $238.45 Recovered $0.00 | -$28.95 -12.14% | |
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? No | 10/04/2026, 06:24:49 | 0.80¢ | 122.65 / 122.65 shares Mark 0.70¢ | $0.98 Recovered $0.00 | -$0.12 -12.50% | |
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:24:41 | 82.0¢ | 273.29 / 273.29 shares Mark 79.0¢ | $224.10 Recovered $0.00 | -$8.20 -3.66% | |
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:20:50 | 29.0¢ | 643.64 / 643.64 shares Mark 25.0¢ | $186.66 Recovered $0.00 | -$25.75 -13.79% | |
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:19:20 | 82.0¢ | 48.65 / 48.65 shares Mark 79.0¢ | $39.89 Recovered $0.00 | -$1.46 -3.66% | |
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:16:47 | 82.0¢ | 27.78 / 27.78 shares Mark 79.0¢ | $22.78 Recovered $0.00 | -$0.83 -3.66% | |
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? No | 10/04/2026, 06:10:02 | 11.0¢ | 201.29 / 201.29 shares Mark 11.0¢ | $22.14 Recovered $0.00 | $0.00 0.00% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? No | 10/04/2026, 05:43:29 | 75.2¢ | 197.65 / 197.65 shares Mark 62.5¢ | $148.63 Recovered $0.00 | -$25.00 -16.82% | |
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? No | 10/04/2026, 05:41:19 | 9.00¢ | 119.00 / 119.00 shares Mark 2.20¢ | $10.71 Recovered $0.00 | -$8.09 -75.56% | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco? No | 10/04/2026, 05:31:17 | 98.7¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares Mark 99.4¢ | $98.70 Recovered $0.00 | $0.65 0.66% | |
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No | 10/04/2026, 05:18:50 | 35.0¢ | 293.08 / 293.08 shares Mark 26.0¢ | $102.58 Recovered $0.00 | -$26.38 -25.71% | |
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No | 10/04/2026, 05:04:13 | 35.0¢ | 4.62 / 4.62 shares Mark 26.0¢ | $1.62 Recovered $0.00 | -$0.42 -25.71% | |
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No | 10/04/2026, 04:57:02 | 35.0¢ | 30.77 / 30.77 shares Mark 26.0¢ | $10.77 Recovered $0.00 | -$2.77 -25.71% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? No | 10/04/2026, 04:30:55 | 81.0¢ | 96.97 / 96.97 shares | $78.55 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:07 | 76.9¢ | 101.42 / 101.42 shares | $78.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.9¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.9¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 98.8¢ | 101.11 / 101.11 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.8¢ | 100.10 / 100.10 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.9¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.7¢ | 100.20 / 100.20 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.9¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 88.0¢ | 102.27 / 102.27 shares | $90.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 71.0¢ | 102.82 / 102.82 shares Mark 73.5¢ | $73.00 Recovered $0.00 | $2.57 3.52% | |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 94.5¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $94.50 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 97.0¢ | 102.06 / 102.06 shares | $99.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.7¢ | 100.20 / 100.20 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 83.0¢ | 102.41 / 102.41 shares | $85.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 89.0¢ | 101.12 / 101.12 shares | $90.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 99.5¢ | 100.40 / 100.40 shares | $99.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? No | 10/04/2026, 02:15:00 | 8.00¢ | 660.00 / 660.00 shares Mark 2.85¢ | $52.80 Recovered $0.00 | -$33.99 -64.38% | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 00:07:03 | 74.0¢ | 3035.46 / 3035.46 shares | $2,245 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/04/2026, 00:07:03 | 25.0¢ | 2954.07 / 2954.07 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $738.52 Recovered $0.00 | $369.26 50.00% | |
Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No | 10/03/2026, 23:28:59 | 58.0¢ | 211.50 / 211.50 shares | $122.67 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? No | 10/03/2026, 23:28:59 | 41.0¢ | 207.91 / 207.91 shares Mark 26.0¢ | $85.24 Recovered $0.00 | -$31.19 -36.59% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 97.5¢ | 140.13 / 140.13 shares | $136.63 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 99.8¢ | 137.45 / 137.45 shares | $137.18 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 34.0¢ | 100.00 / 100.00 shares | $34.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 78.9¢ | 140.80 / 140.80 shares Mark 62.5¢ | $111.09 Recovered $0.00 | -$23.02 -20.72% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 99.9¢ | 137.32 / 137.32 shares | $137.18 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 90.0¢ | 137.31 / 137.31 shares | $123.58 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 99.6¢ | 137.73 / 137.73 shares | $137.18 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.8¢ | 160.13 / 160.13 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.6¢ | 160.45 / 160.45 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.9¢ | 159.97 / 159.97 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.9¢ | 159.97 / 159.97 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.8¢ | 160.13 / 160.13 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.9¢ | 159.97 / 159.97 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 5.56¢ | 192.66 / 192.66 shares Mark 4.80¢ | $10.72 Recovered $0.00 | -$1.47 -13.74% | |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 95.4¢ | 159.96 / 159.96 shares | $152.60 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 22:10:20 | 99.9¢ | 159.97 / 159.97 shares | $159.81 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? No | 10/03/2026, 20:46:20 | 5.20¢ | 242.18 / 242.18 shares Mark 5.05¢ | $12.59 Recovered $0.00 | -$0.36 -2.88% | |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 19:54:27 | 50.2¢ | 2884.43 / 2884.43 shares Mark 52.5¢ | $1,449 Recovered $0.00 | $65.09 4.49% | |
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 19:54:27 | 48.0¢ | 2787.00 / 2787.00 shares | $1,338 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No | 10/03/2026, 08:59:59 | 6.00¢ | 3291.34 / 3291.34 shares | $197.48 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No | 10/03/2026, 08:59:57 | 93.0¢ | 3362.13 / 3362.13 shares Mark 93.5¢ | $3,127 Recovered $0.00 | $16.81 0.54% | |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No | 10/03/2026, 08:28:35 | 63.0¢ | 13.00 / 13.00 shares | $8.19 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 08:17:57 | 25.1¢ | 675.63 / 675.63 shares | $169.39 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 08:17:57 | 74.0¢ | 627.36 / 627.36 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $464.25 Recovered $0.00 | -$78.42 -16.89% | |
Will "Outside: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? No | 10/03/2026, 07:45:48 | 99.9¢ | 110.00 / 110.00 shares | $109.89 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? No | 10/03/2026, 07:45:48 | 95.1¢ | 112.19 / 112.19 shares Mark 99.0¢ | $106.70 Recovered $0.00 | $4.37 4.09% | |
Will "A Different World: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? No | 10/03/2026, 07:45:48 | 4.00¢ | 110.00 / 110.00 shares | $4.40 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will "LEGO ONE PIECE: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? No | 10/03/2026, 07:45:48 | 99.9¢ | 110.00 / 110.00 shares | $109.89 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 07:01:15 | 86.8¢ | 24.36 / 24.36 shares | $21.14 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 07:01:14 | 86.8¢ | 83.03 / 83.03 shares | $72.07 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:14 | 4.00¢ | 207.12 / 207.12 shares Mark 4.80¢ | $8.28 Recovered $0.00 | $1.66 20.00% | |
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:14 | 99.9¢ | 207.13 / 207.13 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 99.9¢ | 207.13 / 207.13 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 99.9¢ | 207.13 / 207.13 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 99.8¢ | 207.33 / 207.33 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 99.8¢ | 207.33 / 207.33 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 96.0¢ | 211.44 / 211.44 shares | $202.98 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 99.9¢ | 207.13 / 207.13 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:12 | 99.6¢ | 207.75 / 207.75 shares | $206.92 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 04:57:24 | 22.0¢ | 1431.92 / 1431.92 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $315.02 Recovered $0.00 | $221.95 70.45% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 04:57:23 | 22.0¢ | 218.00 / 218.00 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $47.96 Recovered $0.00 | $33.79 70.45% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 04:57:23 | 22.0¢ | 228.00 / 228.00 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $50.16 Recovered $0.00 | $35.34 70.45% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 04:57:23 | 22.0¢ | 218.00 / 218.00 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $47.96 Recovered $0.00 | $33.79 70.45% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:39:06 | 23.0¢ | 775.43 / 775.43 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $178.35 Recovered $0.00 | $112.44 63.04% | |
Will Maude Brossard-Sabourin win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:33:44 | 83.0¢ | 252.17 / 252.17 shares | $209.30 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:33:42 | 16.7¢ | 271.30 / 271.30 shares Mark 31.0¢ | $45.40 Recovered $0.00 | $38.70 85.25% | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:32:11 | 76.6¢ | 4254.14 / 4254.14 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $3,260 Recovered $0.00 | -$643.45 -19.74% | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:30:21 | 24.0¢ | 4633.63 / 4633.63 shares | $1,112 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:30:20 | 75.0¢ | 4757.20 / 4757.20 shares Mark 61.5¢ | $3,568 Recovered $0.00 | -$642.22 -18.00% | |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? No | 10/03/2026, 02:29:41 | 95.9¢ | 32.68 / 32.68 shares Mark 99.2¢ | $31.34 Recovered $0.00 | $1.06 3.39% | |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? No | 10/03/2026, 02:29:38 | 95.9¢ | 608.54 / 608.54 shares Mark 99.2¢ | $583.59 Recovered $0.00 | $19.78 3.39% | |
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? No | 10/03/2026, 02:19:54 | 59.0¢ | 751.47 / 751.47 shares Mark 43.0¢ | $443.37 Recovered $0.00 | -$120.24 -27.12% | |
Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 32.5 million views on day 6? No | 10/03/2026, 02:04:06 | 0.10¢ | 105000.00 / 105000.00 shares | $105.00 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will João Campos win the Pernambuco Governor election? No | 10/03/2026, 01:47:23 | 40.0¢ | 294.16 / 294.16 shares | $117.66 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? No | 10/03/2026, 01:47:21 | 59.0¢ | 293.17 / 293.17 shares Mark 43.0¢ | $172.97 Recovered $0.00 | -$46.91 -27.12% | |
Will Lula win less than 35% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 22:50:50 | 98.9¢ | 338.68 / 338.68 shares | $334.95 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 22:50:50 | 25.0¢ | 335.28 / 335.28 shares | $83.82 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win between 35% and 38% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 22:50:48 | 99.4¢ | 336.97 / 336.97 shares | $334.95 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 22:50:48 | 80.0¢ | 339.48 / 339.48 shares | $271.58 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 22:50:48 | 96.2¢ | 342.30 / 342.30 shares Mark 95.7¢ | $329.25 Recovered $0.00 | -$1.67 -0.51% | |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? No | 10/02/2026, 21:59:08 | 5.00¢ | 201.00 / 201.00 shares | $10.05 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m? No | 10/02/2026, 21:59:08 | 99.7¢ | 201.45 / 201.45 shares | $200.80 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? No | 10/02/2026, 21:59:08 | 95.0¢ | 205.23 / 205.23 shares Mark 99.2¢ | $194.97 Recovered $0.00 | $8.52 4.37% | |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m? No | 10/02/2026, 21:59:06 | 99.9¢ | 67.80 / 67.80 shares | $67.73 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 99.7¢ | 1033.02 / 1033.02 shares | $1,030 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 99.9¢ | 1030.95 / 1030.95 shares | $1,030 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 99.6¢ | 1034.06 / 1034.06 shares | $1,030 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 18.0¢ | 1030.95 / 1030.95 shares | $185.57 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 86.5¢ | 1054.56 / 1054.56 shares Mark 89.6¢ | $912.40 Recovered $0.00 | $33.01 3.62% | |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 99.9¢ | 1030.95 / 1030.95 shares | $1,030 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 95.4¢ | 1048.02 / 1048.02 shares | $1,000 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 21:29:41 | 97.7¢ | 746.56 / 746.56 shares | $729.54 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 21:29:39 | 2.60¢ | 731.00 / 731.00 shares | $19.01 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 21:28:29 | 2.60¢ | 13.00 / 13.00 shares | $0.34 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 21:26:33 | 2.60¢ | 216.00 / 216.00 shares | $5.62 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 21:25:41 | 26.0¢ | 570.07 / 570.07 shares | $148.22 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Russia? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.4¢ | 281.82 / 281.82 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another country? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.5¢ | 281.54 / 281.54 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Italy? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 98.5¢ | 284.40 / 284.40 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another European country? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Egypt? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.5¢ | 281.54 / 281.54 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in South Africa? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Finland? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Belarus? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.5¢ | 281.54 / 281.54 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Ukraine? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.8¢ | 280.69 / 280.69 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Serbia? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Slovakia? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.8¢ | 280.69 / 280.69 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Germany? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 97.5¢ | 286.30 / 286.30 shares | $279.01 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Saudi Arabia? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in China? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.4¢ | 281.82 / 281.82 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Turkey? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 98.1¢ | 285.56 / 285.56 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Poland? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in India? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 18.0¢ | 280.41 / 280.41 shares Mark 19.5¢ | $50.47 Recovered $0.00 | $4.21 8.33% | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another Middle East/North Africa country? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 98.4¢ | 284.68 / 284.68 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Kazakhstan? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the United States? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.5¢ | 281.54 / 281.54 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Qatar? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.1¢ | 282.67 / 282.67 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Vatican City? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Brazil? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.5¢ | 281.54 / 281.54 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Azerbaijan? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Austria? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.6¢ | 281.25 / 281.25 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Switzerland? No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 99.4¢ | 281.82 / 281.82 shares | $280.13 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? No | 10/02/2026, 09:27:27 | 26.0¢ | 228.57 / 228.57 shares | $59.43 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Joel Rodrigues win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? No | 10/02/2026, 08:19:44 | 98.9¢ | 106.11 / 106.11 shares Mark 99.5¢ | $104.94 Recovered $0.00 | $0.58 0.56% | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 06:37:14 | 98.6¢ | 439.25 / 439.25 shares | $433.10 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 06:37:14 | 97.1¢ | 433.53 / 433.53 shares | $420.96 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 06:37:14 | 70.0¢ | 445.91 / 445.91 shares Mark 76.5¢ | $312.14 Recovered $0.00 | $28.98 9.29% | |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 06:37:12 | 33.0¢ | 446.70 / 446.70 shares | $147.41 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 06:37:12 | 99.7¢ | 434.40 / 434.40 shares | $433.10 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 05:35:03 | 95.1¢ | 500.00 / 500.00 shares Mark 96.0¢ | $475.50 Recovered $0.00 | $4.75 1.00% | |
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 05:35:02 | 4.82¢ | 673.63 / 673.63 shares | $32.50 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? No | 10/02/2026, 05:08:30 | 2.60¢ | 139.00 / 139.00 shares | $3.61 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? No | 10/02/2026, 05:08:29 | 97.8¢ | 140.69 / 140.69 shares Mark 96.5¢ | $137.61 Recovered $0.00 | -$1.78 -1.29% | |
Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 04:30:47 | 16.0¢ | 269.02 / 269.02 shares | $43.04 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 04:30:45 | 83.5¢ | 274.61 / 274.61 shares Mark 79.0¢ | $229.21 Recovered $0.00 | -$12.26 -5.35% | |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 04:12:23 | 19.0¢ | 384.51 / 384.51 shares Mark 17.5¢ | $73.06 Recovered $0.00 | -$5.77 -7.89% | |
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 04:07:11 | 79.0¢ | 179.45 / 179.45 shares Mark 74.5¢ | $141.77 Recovered $0.00 | -$8.08 -5.70% | |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No | 10/02/2026, 03:56:03 | 43.0¢ | 324.92 / 324.92 shares Mark 45.5¢ | $139.72 Recovered $0.00 | $8.12 5.81% | |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No | 10/02/2026, 03:56:02 | 43.0¢ | 9.98 / 9.98 shares Mark 45.5¢ | $4.29 Recovered $0.00 | $0.25 5.81% | |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 03:19:26 | 62.0¢ | 723.93 / 723.93 shares Mark 60.5¢ | $449.06 Recovered $0.00 | -$11.08 -2.47% | |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 03:19:26 | 36.0¢ | 701.65 / 701.65 shares | $252.59 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No | 10/02/2026, 03:18:36 | 26.0¢ | 164.99 / 164.99 shares Mark 30.0¢ | $42.90 Recovered $0.00 | $6.60 15.38% | |
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No | 10/02/2026, 03:18:36 | 75.0¢ | 165.00 / 165.00 shares | $123.75 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? No | 10/02/2026, 03:13:41 | 30.0¢ | 384.76 / 384.76 shares Mark 30.0¢ | $115.43 Recovered $0.00 | $0.00 0.00% | |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 02:26:18 | 99.8¢ | 323.33 / 323.33 shares Mark 99.9¢ | $322.68 Recovered $0.00 | $0.16 0.05% | |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 02:26:18 | 89.1¢ | 329.73 / 329.73 shares | $293.93 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? No | 10/02/2026, 02:26:18 | 10.0¢ | 323.00 / 323.00 shares | $32.30 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will PLQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? No | 10/02/2026, 01:02:56 | 5.00¢ | 150.00 / 150.00 shares | $7.50 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? No | 10/02/2026, 01:02:56 | 99.2¢ | 151.01 / 151.01 shares Mark 98.7¢ | $149.85 Recovered $0.00 | -$0.81 -0.54% | |
Will PCQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? No | 10/02/2026, 01:02:56 | 99.9¢ | 150.00 / 150.00 shares | $149.85 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? No | 10/02/2026, 01:02:56 | 95.0¢ | 137.96 / 137.96 shares | $131.06 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:57:21 | 19.0¢ | 4.50 / 4.50 shares Mark 27.5¢ | $0.86 Recovered $0.00 | $0.38 44.74% | |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:49:14 | 99.8¢ | 2113.67 / 2113.67 shares | $2,109 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:49:14 | 99.9¢ | 2111.55 / 2111.55 shares | $2,109 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:49:14 | 32.1¢ | 947.23 / 947.23 shares | $304.41 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:49:14 | 99.1¢ | 2127.78 / 2127.78 shares Mark 98.6¢ | $2,109 Recovered $0.00 | -$12.52 -0.59% | |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:49:14 | 68.0¢ | 2111.55 / 2111.55 shares | $1,436 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:12:06 | 98.9¢ | 581.48 / 581.48 shares Mark 98.6¢ | $574.90 Recovered $0.00 | -$1.86 -0.32% | |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:12:06 | 71.0¢ | 575.47 / 575.47 shares | $408.58 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:12:06 | 99.8¢ | 576.05 / 576.05 shares | $574.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:12:06 | 29.1¢ | 617.04 / 617.04 shares | $179.55 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No | 10/02/2026, 00:12:06 | 99.7¢ | 576.58 / 576.58 shares | $574.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No | 10/01/2026, 23:03:11 | 19.0¢ | 196.68 / 196.68 shares Mark 20.5¢ | $37.37 Recovered $0.00 | $2.95 7.89% | |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/01/2026, 22:35:17 | 28.0¢ | 240.14 / 240.14 shares Mark 37.5¢ | $67.24 Recovered $0.00 | $22.81 33.93% | |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/01/2026, 22:35:15 | 99.9¢ | 240.14 / 240.14 shares | $239.90 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No | 10/01/2026, 22:35:15 | 71.0¢ | 246.58 / 246.58 shares | $175.07 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder | |
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No | 10/01/2026, 22:25:17 | 98.3¢ | 190.11 / 190.11 shares | $186.88 Recovered $0.00 | -- Realized $0.00 · no market price for the remainder |
| 23.8¢ |
| 37.5¢ |
| $1,042 |
| $2,935 / 57.31% |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | -- | 985.81 | 80.8¢ | 84.5¢ | $833.01 | $67.29 / 4.57% |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 10/02/2026, 06:37:14 | 1072.17 | 73.5¢ | 76.5¢ | $820.21 | -$71.20 / 4.04% |
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 05:35:03 | 676.00 | 95.5¢ | 96.0¢ | $649.30 | $12.70 / 0.58% |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | No | 10/02/2026, 21:59:08 | 645.01 | 95.9¢ | 99.2¢ | $639.52 | -$2.98 / 3.39% |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 958.28 | 3.12¢ | 63.5¢ | $608.99 | $579.04 / 1,933.60% |
Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | No | 10/03/2026, 01:47:21 | 1250.48 | 55.4¢ | 43.0¢ | $537.71 | -$61.82 / -22.38% |
Will Valmir de Francisquinho win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election? | No | 10/04/2026, 06:16:47 | 349.72 | 82.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $276.28 | -$10.49 / -3.66% |
Will Guilherme Derrite win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election? | No | 10/04/2026, 06:20:50 | 643.64 | 29.0¢ | 25.0¢ | $160.91 | -$25.75 / -13.79% |
Will Luciano Zucco win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? | No | 10/04/2026, 09:40:38 | 1165.80 | 12.0¢ | 13.0¢ | $151.55 | $11.66 / 8.33% |
Will Trump not announce his AI czar pick by December 31, 2026? | No | 10/04/2026, 06:33:07 | 165.00 | 91.6¢ | 88.6¢ | $146.27 | -$4.87 / -3.22% |
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? | No | -- | 302.83 | 58.0¢ | 47.5¢ | $143.84 | -$31.80 / -18.10% |
Will Sylvie Tanguay win the next Saint-François Quebec National Assembly election? | No | -- | 350.00 | 13.0¢ | 40.5¢ | $141.75 | $96.25 / 211.54% |
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | No | -- | 152.94 | 56.8¢ | 89.3¢ | $136.50 | $49.63 / 57.13% |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | No | 10/02/2026, 03:56:02 | 296.11 | 43.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $134.73 | $360.51 / 5.81% |
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 04:07:11 | 179.45 | 79.0¢ | 74.5¢ | $133.69 | -$8.08 / -5.70% |
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? | No | -- | 260.05 | 34.0¢ | 50.5¢ | $131.33 | $42.91 / 48.53% |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | No | -- | 153.26 | 30.0¢ | 82.5¢ | $126.44 | $2,120 / 174.96% |
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | No | 10/04/2026, 09:36:23 | 125.00 | 94.0¢ | 95.5¢ | $119.38 | $1.88 / 1.60% |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 20.6¢ | $113.68 | $111.17 / 2,544.04% |
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | No | 10/02/2026, 03:13:41 | 371.75 | 28.8¢ | 30.0¢ | $111.52 | $124.36 / 4.17% |
Will Joel Rodrigues win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? | No | 10/02/2026, 08:19:44 | 106.11 | 98.9¢ | 99.5¢ | $105.53 | $0.58 / 0.56% |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pernambuco? | No | 10/04/2026, 05:31:17 | 100.00 | 98.7¢ | 99.4¢ | $99.35 | $0.65 / 0.66% |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? | No | -- | 91.37 | 97.3¢ | 98.0¢ | $89.54 | $0.39 / 0.72% |
Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | No | 10/03/2026, 23:28:59 | 324.87 | 35.0¢ | 26.0¢ | $84.47 | $88.21 / -25.71% |
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | No | -- | 77.99 | 96.7¢ | 98.7¢ | $76.94 | $4.90 / 2.02% |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | -- | 215.89 | 39.4¢ | 35.5¢ | $76.64 | $2,975 / -9.83% |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 04:12:23 | 384.51 | 19.0¢ | 17.5¢ | $67.29 | -$5.77 / -7.89% |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 10/03/2026, 08:59:57 | 70.79 | 93.0¢ | 93.5¢ | $66.19 | -$164.24 / 0.54% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | No | 10/03/2026, 22:52:56 | 104.16 | 75.2¢ | 62.5¢ | $65.15 | $17.48 / -16.82% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | Yes | -- | 134.28 | 9.09¢ | 45.5¢ | $61.10 | $48.89 / 400.51% |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.50 | 0.78¢ | 10.8¢ | $59.73 | $55.95 / 1,289.24% |
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? | No | 10/03/2026, 19:54:27 | 97.43 | 50.2¢ | 52.5¢ | $51.15 | $1,147 / 4.49% |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | -- | 77.67 | 63.8¢ | 61.5¢ | $47.76 | $479.40 / -3.66% |
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? | No | -- | 50.00 | 54.0¢ | 89.5¢ | $44.75 | $17.75 / 65.74% |
Will the CAQ win fewer than 5 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | No | 10/04/2026, 08:57:34 | 138.99 | 20.3¢ | 31.4¢ | $43.71 | $15.50 / 54.93% |
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | No | -- | 248.29 | 26.0¢ | 17.5¢ | $43.45 | -$21.10 / -32.69% |
Will Clécio Luís win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | No | -- | 44.75 | 75.0¢ | 94.0¢ | $42.09 | $49.29 / 25.31% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | -- | 48.66 | 88.0¢ | 79.0¢ | $38.44 | $176.57 / -10.23% |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 2182.60 | 20.0¢ | 1.75¢ | $38.20 | -$30.55 / -91.25% |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 30.9¢ | $35.87 | $26.94 / 301.71% |
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | -- | 99.09 | 10.0¢ | 36.1¢ | $35.82 | $39.91 / 261.50% |
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | No | 10/01/2026, 23:03:11 | 171.46 | 19.0¢ | 20.5¢ | $35.15 | $788.83 / 7.89% |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 16.7¢ | $34.11 | $32.51 / 2,031.33% |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 16.0¢ | $32.68 | $31.08 / 1,941.72% |
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | Yes | -- | 109.34 | 10.0¢ | 29.6¢ | $32.42 | $35.51 / 196.50% |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 1626.18 | 20.0¢ | 1.75¢ | $28.46 | -$166.29 / -91.25% |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | -- | 5135.01 | 20.0¢ | 0.55¢ | $28.24 | -$889.01 / -97.25% |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 03:19:26 | 38.34 | 61.9¢ | 60.5¢ | $23.19 | $407.66 / -2.33% |
Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election? | No | 10/04/2026, 06:10:02 | 201.29 | 11.0¢ | 11.0¢ | $22.14 | $0.00 / 0.00% |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%? | Yes | -- | 49.28 | 16.7¢ | 42.0¢ | $20.70 | $12.48 / 152.00% |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | No | -- | 20.32 | 94.7¢ | 98.0¢ | $19.93 | $22.41 / 3.54% |
Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 10/04/2026, 02:15:00 | 660.00 | 8.00¢ | 2.85¢ | $18.81 | -$33.99 / -64.38% |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 3996.23 | 20.0¢ | 0.45¢ | $17.98 | -$781.26 / -97.75% |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | No | -- | 31.66 | 23.1¢ | 56.0¢ | $17.73 | $331.60 / 142.23% |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 15.0¢ | $17.47 | $8.54 / 95.65% |
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? | No | -- | 123.20 | 26.0¢ | 14.0¢ | $17.25 | -$14.78 / -46.15% |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.50 | 0.78¢ | 3.05¢ | $16.79 | $12.85 / 290.52% |
Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 148.85 | 20.0¢ | 11.1¢ | $16.52 | -$13.11 / -44.50% |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | No | 10/02/2026, 09:51:23 | 80.36 | 18.0¢ | 19.5¢ | $15.67 | $226.10 / 8.33% |
Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 62.20 | 3.12¢ | 24.3¢ | $15.11 | $13.17 / 677.62% |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | -- | 17.08 | 3.57¢ | 85.0¢ | $14.52 | $77.91 / 2,280.07% |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 7.00¢ | $14.34 | $12.74 / 796.05% |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 12.0¢ | $13.99 | $5.06 / 56.65% |
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? | No | 10/03/2026, 20:46:20 | 242.18 | 5.20¢ | 5.05¢ | $12.23 | -$0.36 / -2.88% |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on December 31? | Yes | -- | 153.37 | 20.0¢ | 7.95¢ | $12.19 | -$18.48 / -60.25% |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 5.80¢ | $11.88 | $10.28 / 642.44% |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 5.05¢ | $10.35 | $8.75 / 546.43% |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 8.45¢ | $9.81 | $0.88 / 9.85% |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 2569.99 | 20.0¢ | 0.35¢ | $8.99 | -$245.22 / -98.25% |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 00:12:06 | 8.56 | 99.1¢ | 98.6¢ | $8.43 | -$85.99 / -0.59% |
2026 Balance of Power: Other | Yes | -- | 5274.50 | 20.0¢ | 0.15¢ | $7.91 | -$976.05 / -99.25% |
Will Christine Lagarde win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 1581.55 | 0.78¢ | 0.50¢ | $7.91 | $89.23 / -35.99% |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | -- | 183.22 | 3.62¢ | 4.05¢ | $7.42 | -$649.54 / 11.64% |
Jon Ossoff Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31? | No | -- | 17.05 | 66.0¢ | 42.5¢ | $7.24 | -$2.44 / -35.63% |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 127.01 | 20.0¢ | 5.50¢ | $6.99 | $21.71 / -72.50% |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | -- | 106.64 | 20.0¢ | 6.50¢ | $6.93 | $47.58 / -67.50% |
Will Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 208+ House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 5.65¢ | $6.56 | -$2.37 / -26.55% |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 3.15¢ | $6.45 | $4.85 / 303.22% |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 92.11 | 3.84¢ | 6.75¢ | $6.22 | $50.02 / 75.50% |
Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? | No | 10/03/2026, 02:33:42 | 19.13 | 16.7¢ | 31.0¢ | $5.93 | $203.42 / 85.25% |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 10/02/2026, 21:54:32 | 6.54 | 86.5¢ | 89.6¢ | $5.86 | $102.07 / 3.62% |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 2.60¢ | $5.33 | $3.73 / 232.81% |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 2.60¢ | $5.33 | $3.73 / 232.81% |
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and 208–222 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 4.35¢ | $5.05 | -$3.88 / -43.45% |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 277.22 | 0.78¢ | 1.75¢ | $4.85 | $2.82 / 124.07% |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | -- | 8.25 | 2.85¢ | 54.0¢ | $4.46 | $4.92 / 1,790.06% |
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 04:30:45 | 5.59 | 83.5¢ | 79.0¢ | $4.42 | $22.05 / -5.35% |
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | -- | 796.45 | 3.57¢ | 0.55¢ | $4.38 | -$24.06 / -84.60% |
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 294.08 | 0.78¢ | 1.45¢ | $4.26 | $10.22 / 85.65% |
Will Patricia Bullrich win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 1.25¢ | $4.18 | -$1.04 / -20.00% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%? | Yes | -- | 94.15 | 9.09¢ | 4.40¢ | $4.14 | -$4.42 / -51.60% |
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 373.90 | 3.84¢ | 1.10¢ | $4.11 | $433.86 / -71.40% |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.7% and 0.9%? | No | -- | 4.67 | 74.0¢ | 85.5¢ | $3.99 | $19.51 / 15.51% |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.65¢ | $3.69 | -$0.74 / -16.77% |
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 1.75¢ | $3.59 | $1.98 / 124.01% |
Will Cristina Fernández de Kirchner win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 1.05¢ | $3.51 | -$1.71 / -32.80% |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.0% and 2.4%? | Yes | -- | 153.49 | 11.1¢ | 2.25¢ | $3.45 | -$13.60 / -79.75% |
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.95¢ | $3.35 | -$6.52 / -87.65% |
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | -- | 310.00 | 0.00¢ | 1.05¢ | $3.26 | $3.26 / 0.00% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.15¢ | $3.21 | -$63.69 / -95.20% |
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.55¢ | $3.12 | -$1.31 / -29.58% |
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4.20 | 20.0¢ | 73.5¢ | $3.08 | $2.24 / 267.50% |
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | No | -- | 3.35 | 90.4¢ | 91.3¢ | $3.06 | $1.83 / 0.93% |
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Zema win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Samara win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | Yes | -- | 6107.90 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $3.05 | -$149.64 / -98.00% |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? | Yes | -- | 6.18 | 10.0¢ | 49.4¢ | $3.05 | $2.43 / 393.48% |
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | -- | 83.19 | 3.99¢ | 3.65¢ | $3.04 | $782.27 / -8.55% |
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 1.40¢ | $2.87 | $1.27 / 79.20% |
Will Lula win between 38% and 41% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 10/02/2026, 22:50:48 | 2.83 | 96.2¢ | 95.7¢ | $2.71 | -$55.46 / -0.51% |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31? | Yes | -- | 3.37 | 20.0¢ | 78.5¢ | $2.65 | $1.97 / 292.48% |
Will Helder win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election? | No | 10/04/2026, 05:41:19 | 119.00 | 9.00¢ | 2.20¢ | $2.62 | -$8.09 / -75.56% |
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 1.25¢ | $2.56 | $0.96 / 60.00% |
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 1.25¢ | $2.56 | $0.96 / 60.00% |
Will Republicans sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | No | -- | 5.67 | 36.0¢ | 41.5¢ | $2.35 | $79.72 / 15.27% |
Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | No | -- | 15.98 | 11.5¢ | 14.5¢ | $2.32 | $122.40 / 26.63% |
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 1.10¢ | $2.25 | $0.65 / 40.80% |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | Yes | -- | 153.49 | 11.1¢ | 1.45¢ | $2.23 | -$14.83 / -86.95% |
Will "East of Eden: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? | No | 10/03/2026, 07:45:48 | 2.19 | 95.1¢ | 99.0¢ | $2.17 | -$4.79 / 4.09% |
Will the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat? | No | -- | 40.00 | 4.00¢ | 5.20¢ | $2.08 | $0.48 / 30.00% |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? | Yes | -- | 3.49 | 11.1¢ | 56.6¢ | $1.98 | $1.59 / 409.84% |
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.95¢ | $1.95 | $0.35 / 21.60% |
Will Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 0.55¢ | $1.84 | -$3.38 / -64.80% |
Will Augusto Cury finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3666.92 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.83 | -$112.75 / -98.40% |
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Helder Barbalho finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Camilo Santana finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Leite finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.13 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3486.14 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.74 | -$107.20 / -98.40% |
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 92.01 | 3.84¢ | 1.80¢ | $1.66 | $49.72 / -53.20% |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026? | Yes | -- | 1.83 | 16.7¢ | 90.5¢ | $1.66 | $1.35 / 442.99% |
Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Rio Grande do Sul? | No | 10/02/2026, 05:08:29 | 1.69 | 97.8¢ | 96.5¢ | $1.63 | -$0.58 / -1.29% |
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3246.00 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.62 | -$99.81 / -98.40% |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Thinky have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will StepFun have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Tencent have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Nvidia have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 3217.22 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.61 | -$98.93 / -98.40% |
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | -- | 167.85 | 14.3¢ | 0.95¢ | $1.59 | -$22.38 / -93.35% |
Will Pete Fry win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | Yes | -- | 2.15 | 2.56¢ | 68.3¢ | $1.47 | $1.42 / 2,563.53% |
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.70¢ | $1.43 | -$0.17 / -10.40% |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on December 31? | No | -- | 1.54 | 88.1¢ | 92.5¢ | $1.42 | -$12.38 / 4.97% |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | No | 10/03/2026, 05:00:14 | 28.38 | 5.56¢ | 4.80¢ | $1.36 | $338.26 / -13.73% |
Will Guillermo Moreno win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 0.40¢ | $1.34 | -$3.89 / -74.40% |
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2667.02 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.33 | -$82.01 / -98.40% |
Will Pablo Marçal win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2667.02 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.33 | -$82.01 / -98.40% |
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.65¢ | $1.33 | -$0.27 / -16.79% |
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.65¢ | $1.33 | -$0.27 / -16.79% |
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 529.61 | 3.12¢ | 0.25¢ | $1.32 | $481.56 / -92.00% |
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.60¢ | $1.23 | -$0.37 / -23.20% |
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | No | 10/02/2026, 00:57:21 | 4.29 | 21.9¢ | 27.5¢ | $1.18 | $22.46 / 25.64% |
Will Daniel Hadad win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 0.35¢ | $1.17 | -$4.05 / -77.60% |
Will Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2270.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.14 | -$69.82 / -98.40% |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.55¢ | $1.13 | -$0.47 / -29.60% |
Will the Republican Party win the MO-05 House seat? | No | -- | 1.15 | 88.9¢ | 96.2¢ | $1.10 | -$0.81 / 8.19% |
Will "Wonka's The Golden Ticket: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 110.00 | 9.09¢ | 1.00¢ | $1.10 | -$8.90 / -89.00% |
Will Fernando Haddad finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2141.18 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.84 / -98.40% |
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Helder Barbalho finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Geraldo Alckmin finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Tereza Cristina finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2140.77 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $1.07 | -$65.83 / -98.40% |
Will "Crew Girl: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 110.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.95¢ | $1.05 | -$8.95 / -89.55% |
Will PQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | No | 10/02/2026, 01:02:56 | 1.01 | 99.2¢ | 98.7¢ | $0.99 | -$8.90 / -0.54% |
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.45¢ | $0.92 | -$0.68 / -42.40% |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | -- | 1.06 | 84.6¢ | 84.5¢ | $0.90 | $28.88 / -0.07% |
Will "Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? | Yes | -- | 110.00 | 9.09¢ | 0.80¢ | $0.88 | -$9.12 / -91.20% |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? | No | -- | 1.08 | 78.0¢ | 81.5¢ | $0.88 | $23.27 / 4.47% |
Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | No | -- | 0.88 | 98.6¢ | 99.6¢ | $0.87 | -$1.67 / 1.02% |
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | -- | 1.58 | 57.3¢ | 54.9¢ | $0.87 | $78.31 / -4.10% |
Will "Digger" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 9m? | No | 10/04/2026, 06:24:49 | 122.65 | 0.80¢ | 0.70¢ | $0.86 | -$0.12 / -12.51% |
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 143.40 | 3.12¢ | 0.55¢ | $0.79 | -$3.69 / -82.40% |
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | No | -- | 1.71 | 45.0¢ | 45.5¢ | $0.78 | $61.56 / 1.10% |
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election? | Yes | -- | 0.78 | 0.00¢ | 97.8¢ | $0.77 | $0.77 / 0.00% |
Will Luca Niculescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | -- | 4.49 | 0.00¢ | 16.8¢ | $0.75 | $0.75 / 0.00% |
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 0.65¢ | $0.75 | -$8.17 / -91.55% |
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 297.91 | 0.78¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.74 | $6.67 / -67.99% |
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | -- | 141.33 | 4.54¢ | 0.50¢ | $0.71 | -$10.44 / -89.00% |
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | Yes | -- | 0.74 | 3.33¢ | 94.5¢ | $0.70 | $47.89 / 2,734.57% |
Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections? | Yes | -- | 4.33 | 20.0¢ | 14.0¢ | $0.61 | -$0.26 / -30.00% |
Will there be no next German Chancellor before 2028? | No | -- | 1.87 | 47.0¢ | 31.5¢ | $0.59 | $50.72 / -32.98% |
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | -- | 1175.25 | 3.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.59 | -$42.94 / -98.65% |
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? | Yes | -- | 1175.26 | 3.70¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.59 | -$42.94 / -98.65% |
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between -0.4% and 0.0%? | No | -- | 0.60 | 54.6¢ | 97.0¢ | $0.58 | $0.25 / 77.55% |
Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%? | Yes | -- | 1.39 | 16.7¢ | 41.5¢ | $0.58 | $0.35 / 148.96% |
Will ACT New Zealand win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | No | -- | 0.62 | 88.2¢ | 92.7¢ | $0.57 | $0.03 / 5.07% |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? | No | -- | 0.75 | 73.9¢ | 73.1¢ | $0.55 | $46.93 / -1.05% |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 98.18 | 3.84¢ | 0.55¢ | $0.54 | $56.19 / -85.70% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%? | Yes | -- | 96.55 | 9.09¢ | 0.55¢ | $0.53 | -$8.25 / -93.95% |
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | -- | 1048.03 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.52 | -$40.04 / -98.60% |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | -- | 0.60 | 86.9¢ | 86.9¢ | $0.52 | $65.31 / -0.06% |
Will Kuo Hsi win the next Taipei Mayor election? | Yes | -- | 1025.22 | 3.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.51 | -$33.66 / -98.50% |
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.51 | -$1.09 / -68.00% |
Will the Republican Party win the MI-07 House seat? | No | -- | 0.86 | 81.0¢ | 59.0¢ | $0.51 | -$0.19 / -27.16% |
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026? | No | -- | 0.52 | 87.4¢ | 92.2¢ | $0.48 | $0.93 / 5.41% |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 0.56 | 2.50¢ | 84.5¢ | $0.47 | $0.46 / 3,279.05% |
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | -- | 310.00 | 0.00¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.47 | $0.47 / 0.00% |
Will Republicans hold 53+ Senate seats and ≤207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? | Yes | -- | 116.08 | 7.69¢ | 0.40¢ | $0.46 | -$8.46 / -94.80% |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | Yes | -- | 0.45 | 16.7¢ | 99.6¢ | $0.45 | $0.37 / 497.15% |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 98.83 | 20.0¢ | 0.45¢ | $0.44 | -$18.43 / -97.75% |
Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | No | -- | 0.62 | 69.4¢ | 69.5¢ | $0.43 | $33.99 / 0.07% |
Will The Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 860.80 | 2.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.43 | -$21.64 / -98.05% |
Will Shas win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 860.80 | 2.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.43 | -$21.64 / -98.05% |
Will Otzma Yehudit win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 860.80 | 2.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.43 | -$21.64 / -98.05% |
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on October 31, 2026? | No | -- | 0.43 | 97.5¢ | 98.2¢ | $0.42 | -$15.97 / 0.64% |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 105.49 | 3.84¢ | 0.40¢ | $0.42 | $59.50 / -89.60% |
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 281.14 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.42 | -$1.77 / -80.79% |
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Federal District? | Yes | -- | 834.26 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.42 | -$20.44 / -98.00% |
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-02 House seat? | No | -- | 0.45 | 82.0¢ | 91.5¢ | $0.41 | $0.04 / 11.57% |
Will Leonardo Badea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | Yes | -- | 4.49 | 0.00¢ | 9.15¢ | $0.41 | $0.41 / 0.00% |
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | No | -- | 0.62 | 81.1¢ | 64.5¢ | $0.40 | $1.19 / -20.50% |
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | -- | 1.88 | 16.7¢ | 20.5¢ | $0.39 | $0.26 / 22.96% |
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be less than 1.0%? | Yes | -- | 153.49 | 11.1¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.38 | -$16.67 / -97.75% |
Will Dr. Furlan win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 0.41 | 3.84¢ | 92.5¢ | $0.38 | $0.37 / 2,304.66% |
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | No | -- | 0.37 | 85.8¢ | 97.9¢ | $0.36 | $0.04 / 14.01% |
Will Moonshot have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 143.40 | 3.12¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.36 | -$4.12 / -92.00% |
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 2.01 | 0.78¢ | 17.5¢ | $0.35 | $18.78 / 2,140.33% |
Will Michael Younger win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$18.68 / -97.75% |
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$15.64 / -97.75% |
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | $115.97 / -97.75% |
Will Alex Padilla win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$16.75 / -97.75% |
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$16.65 / -97.75% |
Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$16.75 / -97.75% |
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$22.72 / -97.75% |
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$14.63 / -97.75% |
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$16.65 / -97.75% |
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$14.63 / -97.75% |
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$26.54 / -97.75% |
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$14.63 / -97.75% |
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$18.25 / -97.75% |
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$16.65 / -97.75% |
Will Kamala Harris win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$14.63 / -97.75% |
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$14.63 / -97.75% |
Will Elaine Culotti win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$23.73 / -97.75% |
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.64 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$17.85 / -97.75% |
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$22.72 / -97.75% |
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$19.63 / -97.75% |
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | -- | 673.63 | 2.22¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.34 | -$16.65 / -97.75% |
Will South African inflation be between 3.8% and 4.1% in 2026? | No | -- | 0.34 | 99.4¢ | 99.4¢ | $0.33 | -$13.62 / -0.03% |
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 110.42 | 3.84¢ | 0.30¢ | $0.33 | $60.66 / -92.20% |
Will South African inflation be less than 2.6% in 2026? | Yes | -- | 110.34 | 10.0¢ | 0.30¢ | $0.33 | $2.92 / -97.00% |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 110.11 | 3.84¢ | 0.30¢ | $0.33 | $60.27 / -92.20% |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 10/02/2026, 02:26:18 | 0.33 | 99.8¢ | 99.9¢ | $0.33 | -$90.61 / 0.03% |
Will South African inflation be between 4.1% and 4.4% in 2026? | Yes | -- | 7.65 | 10.0¢ | 4.05¢ | $0.31 | $5.79 / -59.51% |
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Chris Van Hollen win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.31 | -$1.29 / -80.80% |
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | -- | 2.45 | 16.7¢ | 12.5¢ | $0.31 | -$0.10 / -25.00% |
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | -- | 3.60 | 4.54¢ | 8.50¢ | $0.31 | -$0.74 / 86.98% |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | No | 10/04/2026, 03:11:06 | 0.41 | 71.0¢ | 73.5¢ | $0.30 | $24.72 / 3.49% |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%? | Yes | -- | 96.97 | 9.09¢ | 0.30¢ | $0.29 | -$8.52 / -96.70% |
Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.29 | -$1.21 / -80.79% |
Will ByteDance have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 143.40 | 3.12¢ | 0.20¢ | $0.29 | -$4.19 / -93.60% |
Will DeepSeek have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026? | Yes | -- | 143.40 | 3.12¢ | 0.20¢ | $0.29 | -$4.19 / -93.60% |
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Tim Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Hakeem Jeffries win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Candace Owens win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will John N. Kennedy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Josh Stein win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Rick Scott win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will Doug Burgum win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 567.26 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.15 / -93.60% |
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 111.02 | 3.84¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.28 | $59.77 / -93.50% |
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.50 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.14 / -93.60% |
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.49 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.02 / -93.60% |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 550.50 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.28 | -$4.04 / -93.60% |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 107.04 | 20.0¢ | 0.25¢ | $0.27 | -$20.25 / -98.75% |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be 9,000,000 or more? | Yes | -- | 0.77 | 10.0¢ | 33.5¢ | $0.26 | $0.18 / 234.30% |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%? | No | -- | 0.30 | 87.6¢ | 86.5¢ | $0.26 | $5.17 / -1.23% |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 0%-3%? | Yes | -- | 1.41 | 7.69¢ | 18.1¢ | $0.25 | $0.30 / 134.51% |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 3%-6%? | Yes | -- | 1.38 | 7.69¢ | 18.5¢ | $0.25 | $0.32 / 140.40% |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | -- | 0.99 | 3.84¢ | 24.5¢ | $0.24 | $0.20 / 536.87% |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 456.74 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.23 | -$91.12 / -99.75% |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | -- | 456.74 | 20.0¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.23 | -$91.12 / -99.75% |
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | Yes | -- | 37.96 | 2.56¢ | 0.60¢ | $0.23 | -$0.75 / -76.60% |
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 3.35 | 1.56¢ | 6.60¢ | $0.22 | $0.17 / 322.23% |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 6%-9%? | Yes | -- | 1.48 | 7.69¢ | 14.5¢ | $0.21 | $0.23 / 88.39% |
Will Rui Costa Pimenta win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Samara win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Pablo Marçal win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Edmilson Costa win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Renan Santos win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Veterinário Wilson Grassi win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Hertz Dias win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Escritor Augusto Cury win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will Clariana Barao win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Bahia? | Yes | -- | 422.01 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$10.34 / -98.00% |
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 4.32 | 0.78¢ | 4.85¢ | $0.21 | $5.07 / 520.61% |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 137.91 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.21 | -$0.87 / -80.80% |
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 137.91 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.21 | -$0.87 / -80.80% |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? | Yes | -- | 410.10 | 2.85¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.21 | -$11.51 / -98.25% |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%? | Yes | -- | 2.03 | 9.99¢ | 9.85¢ | $0.20 | -$0.00 / -1.48% |
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | -- | 4.75 | 10.0¢ | 4.05¢ | $0.19 | -$0.05 / -59.48% |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election? | No | -- | 0.38 | 52.0¢ | 46.5¢ | $0.18 | $2.68 / -10.55% |
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$26.95 / -99.35% |
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$51.46 / -99.35% |
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$50.87 / -99.35% |
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$26.95 / -99.35% |
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$48.53 / -99.35% |
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$42.86 / -99.35% |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$45.99 / -99.35% |
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | -- | 352.64 | 7.69¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.18 | -$52.71 / -99.35% |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | -- | 1.30 | 3.84¢ | 13.5¢ | $0.18 | $0.13 / 250.94% |
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 12% or more? | Yes | -- | 4.12 | 7.69¢ | 4.15¢ | $0.17 | -$0.10 / -46.03% |
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 113.49 | 3.84¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.17 | $60.65 / -96.10% |
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 113.49 | 3.84¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.17 | $60.65 / -96.10% |
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 113.49 | 3.84¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.17 | $60.65 / -96.10% |
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 113.49 | 3.84¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.17 | $60.65 / -96.10% |
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | -- | 112.30 | 3.84¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.17 | $59.61 / -96.10% |
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.17 | -$5.06 / -96.80% |
Will Nicolás del Caño win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | -- | 334.30 | 1.56¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.17 | -$5.06 / -96.80% |
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? | Yes | -- | 0.29 | 6.24¢ | 57.8¢ | $0.17 | $0.15 / 823.68% |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | No | -- | 0.66 | 35.0¢ | 25.0¢ | $0.16 | $0.92 / -28.58% |
Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | -- | 0.20 | 65.0¢ | 81.5¢ | $0.16 | $24.71 / 25.32% |
Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | -- | 310.00 | 0.00¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.16 | $0.16 / 0.00% |
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | -- | 102.41 | 3.84¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.15 | -$3.78 / -96.10% |
Will Ivan Moraes win the Pernambuco Governor election? | Yes | -- | 294.16 | 8.33¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.15 | -$24.37 / -99.40% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | Yes | -- | 96.83 | 9.09¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.15 | -$8.66 / -98.35% |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Qatar? | Yes | -- | 3.63 | 3.44¢ | 3.95¢ | $0.14 | $0.02 / 14.46% |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in another country? | Yes | -- | 4.77 | 3.44¢ | 3.00¢ | $0.14 | -$0.02 / -13.02% |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? | No | -- | 0.17 | 80.2¢ | 80.8¢ | $0.14 | $6.90 / 0.65% |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Belarus? | Yes | -- | 4.77 | 3.44¢ | 2.90¢ | $0.14 | -$0.03 / -15.95% |
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? | Yes | -- | 5.66 | 9.99¢ | 2.40¢ | $0.14 | $0.30 / -75.99% |
Will Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 267.25 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$9.08 / -98.55% |
Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | Yes | -- | 267.25 | 3.44¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$9.08 / -98.55% |
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | -- | 5.34 | 10.0¢ | 2.45¢ | $0.13 | -$0.40 / -75.50% |
Will Béatrice Hodonou win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? | Yes | -- | 252.17 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$7.75 / -98.40% |
Will Elena Penta win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? | Yes | -- | 252.17 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$7.75 / -98.40% |
Will Janny Gaspard win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election? | Yes | -- | 252.17 | 3.12¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.13 | -$7.75 / -98.40% |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 IA-02 House election by 9%-12%? | Yes | -- | 4.24 | 7.69¢ | 2.85¢ | $0.12 | -$0.21 / -62.96% |
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | -- | 0.39 | 10.0¢ | 30.7¢ | $0.12 | $0.08 / 206.83% |
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 6.35 | 0.78¢ | 1.85¢ | $0.12 | $0.17 / 136.61% |
Will Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 234.28 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.12 | -$21.18 / -99.45% |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 234.28 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.12 | -$21.18 / -99.45% |
Will another person win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 234.28 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.12 | -$21.18 / -99.45% |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 234.28 | 9.09¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.12 | -$21.18 / -99.45% |
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $2.0T and $2.25T? | Yes | -- | 2.38 | 12.5¢ | 4.75¢ | $0.11 | -$0.18 / -62.00% |
Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 1.33 | 20.0¢ | 8.40¢ | $0.11 | -$0.15 / -58.02% |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in Hungary? | Yes | -- | 4.77 | 3.45¢ | 2.30¢ | $0.11 | -$0.05 / -33.33% |
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | -- | 0.94 | 4.54¢ | 11.4¢ | $0.11 | $0.87 / 150.63% |
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 70.67 | 0.78¢ | 0.15¢ | $0.11 | -$0.45 / -80.79% |
Will Rui Costa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 211.50 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$7.45 / -98.60% |
Will João Roma win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 211.50 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$7.45 / -98.60% |
Will Kleber Rosa win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 211.50 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$7.45 / -98.60% |
Will José Carlos Aleluia win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 211.50 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$7.45 / -98.60% |
Will Bruno Soares Reis win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 211.50 | 3.57¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.11 | -$7.45 / -98.60% |
Will the Republican Party win the TN-09 House seat? | No | -- | 0.77 | 92.0¢ | 13.5¢ | $0.10 | -$21.64 / -85.33% |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | Yes | -- | 2.41 | 3.84¢ | 4.30¢ | $0.10 | $0.01 / 11.76% |
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Adam Schiff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | -- | 204.88 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.50 / -93.60% |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m? | Yes | -- | 201.45 | 16.7¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$33.47 / -99.70% |
Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m? | Yes | -- | 201.45 | 16.7¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$33.47 / -99.70% |
Will Carlos Cley win the 2026 Amapá gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 200.41 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$7.61 / -98.70% |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 8.54 | 0.78¢ | 1.15¢ | $0.10 | $0.03 / 47.23% |
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | -- | 0.11 | 0.81¢ | 86.9¢ | $0.10 | $17.03 / 10,581.97% |
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.48 / -93.60% |
Will François Baroin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.60 / -93.60% |
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.26 / -93.60% |
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.48 / -93.60% |
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.38 / -93.60% |
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.48 / -93.60% |
Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.48 / -93.60% |
Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | -- | 191.37 | 0.78¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.10 | -$1.40 / -93.60% |
Will USD be at least 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | -- | 1.82 | 16.7¢ | 5.15¢ | $0.09 | -$0.00 / -69.11% |
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.50¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | -- | 186.19 | 2.49¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$4.56 / -98.00% |
Will Eduardo Girão win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 178.00 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$6.76 / -98.70% |
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 178.00 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$6.76 / -98.70% |
Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 178.00 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$6.76 / -98.70% |
Will Capitão Wagner win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? | Yes | -- | 178.00 | 3.84¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.09 | -$6.76 / -98.70% |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | -- | 0.80 | 10.0¢ | 11.0¢ | $0.09 | $0.19 / 10.00% |
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be 35% or greater on December 31? | Yes | -- | 2.93 | 20.0¢ | 2.95¢ | $0.09 | -$0.37 / -85.25% |
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? | Yes | -- | 0.29 | 6.24¢ | 29.8¢ | $0.09 | $0.07 / 377.03% |
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-15 House seat? | No | -- | 0.11 | 72.0¢ | 75.0¢ | $0.08 | $0.00 / 4.17% |
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Florida be between 7,750,000 and 8,000,000? | No | -- | 0.11 | 74.3¢ | 76.8¢ | $0.08 | $4.85 / 3.27% |
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | -- | 3.37 | 4.54¢ | 2.35¢ | $0.08 | -$0.02 / -48.27% |
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | -- | 1.12 | 10.0¢ | 7.00¢ | $0.08 | $0.02 / -30.05% |
Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany? | Yes | -- | 2.33 | 1.51¢ | 3.35¢ | $0.08 | $0.04 / 120.78% |
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between September 28 and October 4, 2026? | Yes | -- | 3.18 | 9.09¢ | 2.45¢ | $0.08 | -$0.21 / -73.06% |
Will China’s CPI increase by between 0.7% and 0.8% over the 12 month period ending in September 2026? | No | -- | 0.10 | 76.0¢ | 76.3¢ | $0.08 | $0.19 / 0.26% |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 8.00 | 0.78¢ | 0.95¢ | $0.08 | $0.27 / 21.45% |
Will QS finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | Yes | -- | 150.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.08 | -$9.92 / -99.25% |
Will PVQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? | Yes | -- | 150.00 | 6.66¢ | 0.05¢ | $0.08 | -$9.92 / -99.25% |
Will Putin and Zelenskyy meet next in the UAE? | Yes | -- | 1.62 | 3.44¢ | 4.60¢ | $0.07 | $0.02 / 33.34% |
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 7.41 | 0.78¢ | 1.00¢ | $0.07 | $0.09 / 27.99% |
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | -- | 6.35 | 0.78¢ | 1.15¢ | $0.07 | $0.02 / 47.00% |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? | Yes | -- | 3.69 | 4.54¢ | 1.95¢ | $0.07 | $0.03 / -57.08% |